Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 1.845084e-05 2.246160e-05 0.000027 0.000032 0.000038 0.000044 0.000051
2025-08-24 1.279939e-05 1.762282e-05 0.000023 0.000031 0.000039 0.000049 0.000061
2025-08-31 9.672305e-06 1.486005e-05 0.000021 0.000030 0.000041 0.000054 0.000071
2025-09-07 7.273163e-06 1.245779e-05 0.000019 0.000029 0.000042 0.000058 0.000079
2025-09-14 5.329080e-06 1.024232e-05 0.000017 0.000028 0.000042 0.000061 0.000085
2025-09-21 3.940545e-06 8.528734e-06 0.000016 0.000027 0.000042 0.000063 0.000091
2025-09-28 2.839838e-06 7.005270e-06 0.000014 0.000025 0.000042 0.000064 0.000095
2025-10-05 2.234030e-06 6.194290e-06 0.000013 0.000025 0.000043 0.000068 0.000103
2025-10-12 1.775023e-06 5.540447e-06 0.000013 0.000025 0.000044 0.000072 0.000111
2025-10-19 1.345613e-06 4.816859e-06 0.000012 0.000025 0.000045 0.000074 0.000117
2025-10-26 1.259910e-06 4.860192e-06 0.000012 0.000026 0.000049 0.000082 0.000130
2025-11-02 9.869570e-07 4.353040e-06 0.000012 0.000026 0.000050 0.000085 0.000138
2025-11-09 5.781928e-07 3.345348e-06 0.000010 0.000024 0.000049 0.000086 0.000142
2025-11-16 3.329701e-07 2.624592e-06 0.000009 0.000023 0.000049 0.000088 0.000149
2025-11-23 2.067710e-07 2.204863e-06 0.000008 0.000023 0.000050 0.000092 0.000158
2025-11-30 1.112018e-07 1.773240e-06 0.000008 0.000022 0.000050 0.000095 0.000166
2025-12-07 4.696723e-08 1.344234e-06 0.000007 0.000021 0.000049 0.000096 0.000171
2025-12-14 1.639925e-08 1.020584e-06 0.000006 0.000020 0.000049 0.000097 0.000177
2025-12-21 3.309920e-09 7.405767e-07 0.000005 0.000019 0.000048 0.000098 0.000182
2025-12-28 6.165225e-10 6.082701e-07 0.000005 0.000019 0.000049 0.000102 0.000191
2026-01-04 3.268256e-11 5.050231e-07 0.000005 0.000019 0.000050 0.000106 0.000201
2026-01-11 NaN 3.914600e-07 0.000004 0.000018 0.000051 0.000109 0.000209
2026-01-18 NaN 4.080257e-07 0.000005 0.000020 0.000055 0.000119 0.000228